Wind Astra ClericTier 2
at Cancon 2025 Regionals
decks
2
(7.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-5-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.4%
avg ELO -4.8 per match
expected value
48.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1552
· median 1552
· range 1402–1702
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
972
Q1 1185
Q3 1441
1702
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 22.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Slimes | 11.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.4% | +10.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.4% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 60.2% | +7.6 |
| Water Allies | 7.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 7.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.5% | -23.2 |
| Wind Allies | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 3.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 28.9% | -20.3 |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
